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Wednesday, May 24th, 2006 13:30
Football - Friendly
Pick:  Over 2.5   Result: 0:1
Stake:  7/10   Odds:  2.10  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PaddyPower   vCash: Yes
Posted: May 24, 2006, 11:50




Match starts at 20.30
--
Two teams, that won’t participate on the World Cup this year, are playing their first friendly match before beginning of the World Cup. Republic of Ireland with far better squad didn't succeed to win two times against Israel and when it was most important - in last round - against Switzerland. Chile drew two times with Argentina and once with Brazil, but only five victories in 18 matches, it wasn't enough.

Not much to say about Chile. After failing to qualify for the World Cup, Chile's coach Nelson Acosta is in the process of building a new team. With three or four experienced/older players and with lots of rookies they'll have to work hard if they want to build a team that'll be capable to qualify for the next World Cup. In the qualifications they finished 7th with 22 points, three points behind place which led to the World Cup, with only 18 goals, what makes their attack the worst one in South America's qualification group. That is not the case with their defence, which conceded 22 goals and was fifth best in the group (behind Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador and Colombia).

Robbie Keane, Damien Duff, John O'Shea, Kevin Kilbane, Kevin Doyle, Steve Finnan, Steven Reid... all of them are main roles or very important players in their clubs and with all that players and few others, Republic of Ireland didn't manage to qualify for the WC. Their form in the qualifications were just great, they finished fourth with 5 goals conceded, with only one loss (France 0-1) and three points behind first placed France.

Republic of Ireland (most probable first eleven): Shay Given, Stephen Kelly, Gary Breen, Richard Dunne, Kevin Kilbane, Steve Finnan, John O'Shea, Steven Reid, Robbie Keane, Damien Duff and Kevin Doyle.

I haven't found the information about Nelson Acosta's team.

The conclusion: I said that defence of these two teams was really tough in the qualifications. But, it is normal that team like Ireland doesn't concede a goal against Cyprus or Faroe Islands and to play more defensive when they're playing with France or Switzerland away from home and also if those matches are of great importance. So it isn't that strange why they conceded only five goals. It's the same situation with Chile, when they were playing against better teams (Ecuador, Paraguay, Argentina, Brazil or Uruguay), they based their playing on defence and with one task - to concede less goals than their opponents. Anyway, tonight Republic of Ireland will play in 4-3-3 formation and in front of 40 000 supporters I think they'll destroy Chile's defence. Over 2.5 with medium high stake.

Totally wrong analyze. The match ended 0:1, so the pick is lost.






Sergej
 
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